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2016 election

2016 presidential primaries

           Votes   Candidates  Debates  States   Popular     Super
         (millions)                             delegates  delegates

Democrat     31.22       3        9      50      4051        712
Republican   30.64      17       12      50      2472          0
Libertarian    .03      13       21       6       n/a        n/a
Green          .02       6        4      35       402          0


          Votes   Vote %    Total     Popular     Super     States
                          delegates  delegates  delegates

Trump    14013998   44.9     1441      1441          -        36      Republican
Cruz      7822100   25.1      551       551          -        11
Kasich    4290448   13.8      161       161          -         1
Rubio     3515576   11.3      173       173          -         1

Clinton  16912545   55.2     2842      2271.5      570.5      28      Democrat
Sanders  13206428   43.1     1865      1821.5       44.5      22
O'Malley        ?    ?          0                    1         0

Johnson     22642   59.6      n/a       n/a          -         5      Libertarian
McAfee       3391    8.9      n/a       n/a          -         0
Peterson     3066    8.1      n/a       n/a          -         0

Stein       13231    ?        269.5     269.5        -        34      Green
Kreml           ?    ?         18.5      18.5        -         1

Game of Parties

Primaries

The strength of a party rests in the strength of the primary. The Republican party held a fair primary with diverse candidates and abundant debates whereas the Democratic primary was rigged. The Libertarian party had a robust set of candidates and debates but few watched.


Arrow's theorem

To paraphrase Arrow's theorem, there does not exist a fully satisfactory election process. There exist many bad schemes that usually produce ridiculous results and there are a few good schemes (none of them perfect) that still occasionally produce ridiculuous results. Ridiculosity can be minimized by holding several rounds of elections, trimming the weakest candidates each round. The penultimate round should have exactly 3 candidates and the final round should have exactly 2 candidates.

An election with 2 candidates doesn't have pitfalls whereas pitfalls abound with more than 2 candidates. Pitfalls can be minimized by focusing on trimming the weakest candidates rather than on identifying the strongest candidates. Several rounds of gradual trimming can occur to narrow the field down to 1 candidate.


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