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American Civil War II
The Social War
Dr. Jay Maron


American Civil War II
Boycott war
American colleges
Discussion forums
Science & tech articles
Conservative news personalities

American wealth distribution
American Greatness
Textbook on climate, energy, mining, and farming
American military
Presidents and golf
Gingrich's speeches on understanding Trump


State strength

In Civil War I, the North was economically stronger than the South.
In Civil War II, Republican cities and states are economically stronger than Democrat cities and states. Republican cities and states tend to have less debt/capita than Democrat states, less taxes, and a larger value for exports minus imports.

Civil War I:

      Soldiers  Railroad  Manufacturing  Arms production
        mil      miles     % of total      % of total

North    2.1      21800         90             97
South    1.06      8800         10              3

City strength

Republican cities are economically stronger than Democrat cities. All the high-debt and high-murder cities are Democrat cities.


Migration

People are migrating from blue to red states. The data comes from the moving industry, which tracks moving vans that move between states. Data.


State tax

Blue states tax more than red states.


State energy

Most of the oil and natural gas is in red states.


Secesson
Urban vs. Rural

Presidential election of 2016 by county

Urban areas tend to be blue and rural areas tend to be red. Almost all large cities are blue, even the ones in red states.

The following plot shows how each city voted in the 2016 presidential election, with Republican cities toward the top and Democratic cities toward the bottom. Most cities are Democratic. The horizontal axis indicates how the state voted. Text size indicates city size.
Oklahoma City

The largest red city is Oklahoma City. The city center is blue and the suburbs are red. The blue splotch to the southeast is the University of Oklahoma.


The College Bubble

Precarious colleges

The colleges that are most vulnerable are those with:
Low endowment/student
High average tuition
Low student choice rank (quantified by the ELO algorithm)
Low SAT scores

The following plot shows which colleges are most precarious.


STEM colleges

The following plot shows the STEM strength of colleges.


Boycott War

The general boycott strategy is to favor rural over urban, and to favor red states over blue states. The prime boycott targets are weak leftist cities and states.

The fronts in the boycott war are:

                 Left                                     Right or neutral

Airlines         United, Alaska, Jetblue, Southwest       American, Delta, Spirit
Online shopping  Amazon, Target                           Walmart
Colleges         Leftist private colleges                 Liberty U., Hillsdale, Caltech, BYU
Movies & TV      Hollywood
Beer             Sam Adams, Sierra Nevada                 Bud, Yuengling, Coors, Busch
Cable news       CNN, MSNBC                               Fox
Media            Netflix, ESPN, Disney
Social media     Facebook, Youtube, Twitter               gab.com, minds.com, idw.community
Newspapers       NYTimes, Washpost, Huffpost              Breitbart, Fox
Funding          Patreon, Kickstarter, Paypal             Rootbocks, Hatreon
Operating sys.   Apple, Microsoft, Android                Linux
Shoes            Nike, Reebok                             New Balance
Food             Kellogg's, Ben & Jerry's, Grubhub        Chick-fil-A, Domino's, Nathan's Famous
                 Tyson, Cargill, JBS, Nat Beef Pack Comp.
Coffee           Starbucks                                Black Rifle Coffee
Search engine    Google, Bing                             Duckduckgo
Sports           Tennis, Soccer, NFL, NBA                 WWE, College football, NASCAR, PGA, College basketball
Spirits          California wines, Absolut, Grey Goose    Johnny Walker, Jim Beam, Wild Turkey
Food markets     Supermarkets                             Farmer's markets
Soda             Pepsi                                    Coke
Gas              Chevron                                  Exxon Mobil, Conoco Phillips
Laundry          Gillette, Crest, Tide, Gain, Dawn
                 Downy, Febreze, Pantene

Miscellaneous                                             My Pillow, Hobby Lobby, ABC Supply

We expand on each front in the following sections.


Beer

                 State         State color

Miller Lite      Wisconsin     Red
Miller           Wisconsin     Red
Michelob Ultra   Missouri      Red
Budweiser        Missouri      Red
Yuengling        Pennsylvania  Red
Coors Light      Colorado      Blue
Blue Moon        Colorado      Blue
Sam Adams        Boston        Blue
Sierra Nevada    California    Blue

Cars

Almost all major auto manufacturing plants are in red states except for:

Tesla Motors       California
Ford Explorer      Chicago

Anchor War

       Fox         MSNBC        CNN

 4pm   Cavuto      Lui          Tapper
 5pm   The Five    Politics     Blitzer
 6pm   Baier       White House  Blitzer
 7pm   MacCallum   Matthews     Burnett
 8pm   Carlson     Hayes        Cooper
 9pm   Ingraham    Maddow       Cuomo
10pm   Hannity     O' Donnell   Lemon
11pm   Bream       Williams     Lemon

Airlines

All airlines have hubs in blue states and only some have hubs in red states.

Airlines that operate chiefly in blue states: United, Alaska, Jetblue, Southwest

Airlines that have hubs in red states: American, Delta, Spirit.

             Hub #1      Hub #2         Hub #3

Southwest    Chicago     Baltimore      San Francisco
American     Dallas      Charlotte      Chicago
Delta        Atlanta     New York       Detroit
Spirit       Ft. Laud    Chicago        Dallas
United       Chicago     Houston        Newark
Alaska       San Fran    Los Angeles    Seattle
Jetblue      New York    Boston         Ft. Lauderdale


Gasoline stations

                  Corporate headquarters

ConocoPhillips    Texas
ExxonMobil        Texas
Occidental        Texas
Chevron           California

Cable cutting

By cutting your cable service you hit many targets, such as AOL+TimeWarner (owns CNN & Huffington Post), Comcast (owns MSNBC & NBC), and Walt Disney (Marvel, Lucasfilm, Longhorn Nework, SEC Network). Cable is full of leftist channels such as ESPN.


Search engines

            Market   Uncensored  Anonymous   Dark web
           fraction

Google        .74
Baidu         .11
MS Bing       .081                                     Engine for Alexa and Facebook
Yahoo         .053
Giribu                   *           *                 Ads
DuckDuckGo               *           *           *     No ads.  Default engine for the Tor browser
vlib.org                                               No centralized ownership

Ownership

Newscorp    Fox, WSJ, National Geographic
Google      Youtube, Doubleclick, Android Inc., Panoramio, eBook, Motorola Mobility, Waze
AOL+TW      CNN, HBO, WB, TBS, TNT, the CW, Huffington Post
Comcast     NBC, MSNBC, Universal Pictures, Telemundo
Facebook    Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Oculus VR
Twitter     Vine, Periscope
Amazon      Washington Post
Disney      ABC, ESPN, Marvel, Pixar, Lucasfilm, SEC Network, Longhorn Network
Viacom      CBS, MTV, VH1, BET
Independent: New York Times, Breitbart.
Forest fires

Blue states are more flamable than red states.

Data: Insurance Information Institute, averaged over 2014-2018.


Ideology

The Republican party has evolved in the direction of the Libertarian party. The Democratic party is evolving to the left.

In the classical age of American politics, it was wise to be close to the center. In the modern age there is no universal center. A center exists on the right side and no center exists on the left side. There is no mechanism to stop the leftward drift of leftism.


2020 Election

Oligarchies

What the oligarchs wanted:

vs.

What should have happened:

vs.

What happened:


2016 presidential primaries


Conservative news and analysis

                   Web  Facebook  Twitter  Millions  World
                                            /month   rank

American Conservative  *    *    -
American Enterprise In.*    *      *     -
American Greatness     *          +
American Thinker       *    *      -
The Blaze              *    *           13.3  1366       -
Bongino Report         *
Breitbart              *    *      *    81     227     +
Campus Reform          *    *      *       +
Cato Institute         *    *      *     -
The College Fix        *    *      *
Conservative Leaders   *    *                        Conservative Leaders for Education     +
Conservative Review    *    *      -
Conservative Tribune   *    *           25    2116   Western Journal
Council on Foreign Rel *    *      *                 Council on Foreign Relations
The Daily Caller       *    *      *    29     685   Tucker Carlson,  Neil Patel       -
The Daily Kenn         *
The Daily Wire         *    *      *                 Ben Shapiro     +
The Earth Institute    *    *      *
The Epoch Times        *    *     -
The Federalist         *    *      *     5.0  4817      -
The Fire               *    *      *
538                    *    *
Foundation for Liberty *    *      *                 Foundation for Liberty and American Greatness
Fox News               *    *      *   313      41
Free Beacon            *    *            3.6  6289
Free Republic          *
Free Thought Project   *
The Gateway Pundit     *    *
Heritage Foundaton     *    *      *
The Hill               *    *     +
Hillsdale College      *    *     +
Hot Air                *    *            6.0  3119
Imprimis (Hillsdale)   *    *    +
Infowars               *    *           20    1318
Judicial Watch         *    *      *
Klicked Media          *    *      *
Liberty University     *    *     +
Lifezette              *    *      *
Manhattan Institute    *    *      *      -
Media Equalizer        *    *      *
Media Research Center  *    *      *
Minding the Campus     *    *      *
National Review        *    *      *    10.8  1881
New York Post          *    *
Newsbusters            *    *      *     4.6  4844
News Max               *    *           13.6  1269
One America News       *    *      *
PJ Media               *    *           12.1  1403
Real Clear Politics    *
Red State              *    *            3.6  5550
Town Hall              *    *           11.3  1180
Twitchy                *    *            5.9  3375
Turning Point USA      *    *      *
Washington Examiner    *    *           16.2  1510
Washington Times       *    *           11.6  1421
World Net Daily        *    *      *    10.1  1983
Zero Hedge             *    *     +

Pundits

IDW.community          *    *    +
Floyd Brown            *    *      *
Tucker Carlson         *    *     -
Mike Cernovich         *    *      *
Ann Coulter            *    *      *      +
James Delingpole       *    *        +
Newt Gingrich          *    *      *
Greg Gutfeld           *    *      *
Sean Hannity           *    *      *
Sam Harris             *    *
Charles Hurt           *    *      +
Mark Levin             *    *      *
Rush Limbaugh          *    *      *
Michelle Malkin        *    *      *
Jay Maron              *    *      *
Patrick Moore          *
Bill O'Reilly          *    *      *    -
Jordan Peterson        *    *
Joel Pollak            *    *     +
Joe Rogan              *    *      *
Dave Rubin             *    *      *
Gad Saad               *
Ben Shapiro            *    *      *         
Christina Hoff Sommers      *      *
Nasim Taleb            *    *
Jared Vallorani        *    *      *
Paul Watson            *    *      *        .
Bret Weinstein         *    *
Eric Weinstein         *    *      *
Liz Wheeler            *    *      *
Milo Yiannopoulos      *    *

Politicians

Newt Gingrich          *    *   -
Jim Inhofe             *    *

Intellectual Dark Web

                   Web  Facebook  Twitter

Mike Cernovich         *    *      *
Ann Coulter            *    *      *
Newt Gingrich          *    *      *
Greg Gutfeld           *    *      *
Sean Hannity           *    *      *
Sam Harris             *    *
Mark Levin             *    *      *
Rush Limbaugh          *    *      *
Michelle Malkin        *    *      *
Jay Maron              *    *      *
Bill O'Reilly          *    *      *
Jordan Peterson        *    *
Joe Rogan              *    *      *
Dave Rubin             *    *      *
Gad Saad               *
Ben Shapiro            *    *      *         
Christina Hoff Sommers      *      *
Nasim Taleb            *    *
Bret Weinstein         *    *
Eric Weinstein         *    *      *
Liz Wheeler            *    *      *
Milo Yiannopoulos      *    *                        Twitter illigitimately banned Yiannopoulos.

Science

                     Site  Facebook
Action Physics         *
Am Museum Nat History  *    *
Ars Technica           *    *     -
BBC Science            *    *     +
Buzz Hoot Roar         *    *      *          +
Cato Institute         *    *          -
Copenhagen Consensus   *    *          +
DeSmogBlog             *    *          -
Discovery              *    *                -
Environmental Progress *    *
Heartland Institute    *    *     -
How Stuff Works        *    *             -
io9                    *    *          -
LiveScience            *    *            +
Magnitude physics      *    *          +
Manhat Inst Policy Res *    *          +
Minute Physics         *    *      *          +
NASA                   *    *         -
National Geographic    *    *       +
Nature                 *    *           -
Nautilus Magazine      *    *        -
NewScientist           *    *                +
NYU Urban Science      *    *                  Center for Urban Science and Progress     -
Phys.Org               *    *       -
Physics and Universe        *              +
Physics Today          *    *      *       +
Popular Science        *    *                -
RedOrbit               *    *          -
ScienceDaily           *    *             -
ScienceMag             *    *               -
Scientific American    *    *      *           -
SmithsonianMag         *    *               +
Space                  *    *               +
TreeHugger             *    *                +
The Vintage News       *    *                +
Wired                  *    *     -
XKCD                   *    *     +.
Astronomy Cartoons     *    *       +

Scientists

                     Site  Facebook
Rahul Basu             *    *    +
Alan Boyle             *    *      *     Science, astronautics, paleontology, archaeology
Carin Bondar           *    *      *     Biology
Brian Cox              *    *      *     Physics
Judith Curry           *    *      *
Rupert Darwall         *    *      *     Dogs
Richard Dawkins        *    *      *     Biology
Sam Harris             *    *      *     Neuroscience
Andy Howell            *    *      *
Julie Hecht            *    *      *     Dogs
Tony Heller            *    *   +
Michio Kaku            *    *      *     Physics
Bjorn Lomborg          *    *      *
Jay Maron              *    *      *
Laura McGivern         *    *      *
Phil Plait             *    *      *     Astronomy
Shanti Rao             *    *   +
Hans Rosling           *    *      *     Global Health
Nir Shaviv             *    *      *         
Vaclav Smil            *    *   +
Devabhaktuni Srikrishna*    *   +
Paul Sutter            *    *   -
Gail Tverberg          *    *
Neil Tyson             *    *      *     Astrophysics

Science learning material

MIT textbooks          *
Khan Academy           *
U. Colorado PHET       *         Simulations
Generation Genius      *

Science classes

American Museum of Natural History *
Udemy
Khan Academy           *

Data

Sports Illustrated     *
ESPN                   *

Data

Nation Master          *    *
Western Journal        *    *      *
Statista               *    *      *
USA Facts              *    *   +

Sports

                     Site  Facebook
Sports Illustrated     *
ESPN                   *
Bleacher Report        *







Articles and discussion forums

Discussion forums are held on the magnitude exhibit page, facebook.com/magnitudephysics.

Science analysis of the Green New Deal
Electric supercars
Future of rocket technology
Electric flying cars
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   

Electric vehicles
Asteroid mining
Geoengineering
Nuclear reactors
Article   
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   Forum

Tree carbon capture
Radioisotope power sources
Gaming hardware
World mining supremacy
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   Forum

Future of space telescopes
Farming prowess
Distribution of world wealth
Bird seed and fertilizer
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   Forum
Article   

Playoff systems
Natural disaster risk
Asteroid defense
Billionaire shaming
Article   
Article   Forum
Article   
Article   


Wealth of Nations
Dr. Jay Maron

Wealth and GDP
The "wealth Gini" is an indicator of wealth inequality. The larger the wealth Gini, the larger the wealth inequality. If everyone has the same wealth then the wealth Gini is 0 and if all the wealth is possessed by one person then the wealth Gini is 1.

Nations to the upper right tend to have low wealth inequality and nations to the lower left tend to have high wealth inequality.

Ideally, a nation should have large wealth/capita, large GDP/capita, and small wealth Gini. The nations that stand out in this regard are Norway, Australia, and Japan.

Data


Wealth and wealth distribution
Nations with a large wealth and small wealth Gini include Japan, Italy, The Netherlands, and the UK.
Millionaires and Billionaires
Some nations are heavy in billionaires, such as India, China, Finland, and Hong Kong. Define the "billionaire heaviness" as the fraction of billionaires to millionaires. Nations that have a low billionaire heaviness include Japan, the New Zealand, Hungary, and Poland.

The wealth Gini is more sensitive to millionaires than billionaires. A nation can have a low wealth Gini and also be billionaire heavy.


Strategic Billionaire Reserve

The world's undisputed economic superpower is the USA, in terms of wealth/capita, millionaires, and billionaires.


Wealth Gini and billionaire heaviness

The nations with large wealth per capita, low wealth inequality, and low billionaire heaviness are Japan and Spain.


The Gatsby Curve
The "wealth Gini" measures wealth inequality and the "Gatsby Gini" measures opportunity inequality, and they are together depicted in the "Gatsby plot". Opportunity equality is synonymous with upward mobility. Nations with both a small wealth inequality and a small opportunity inequality include Denmark, Norway, and Finland.
GDP


Exports


Corruption and tax


Curruption and homicides


Gini index

The Gini index characterizes the equality of a distribution. If everyone has the same wealth then the Gini index is 0 and if all the wealth is possessed by one person then the Gini index is 1.

In the above plot the Gini index is defined as

Area of the grey reagion  =  A
Area of the blue region   =  B
Gini index                =  G  =  A/(A+B)

Philanthropists


American wealth distribution

<0table width="100%">

Percentile  Wealth   Fracion of total wealth
              M$

   1      10400000       .35
   2       7000000
   3       4500000
   4       2600000
   5       2200000       .62
  10       1187000       .73
  20        499000       .85

American oligarchs

                 Billion $

Jeff Bezos          131       Amazon
Bill Gates           96       Microsoft
Warren Buffett       83       Berkshire Hathaway
Larry Ellison        62       Oracle
Mark Zuckerberg      62       Facebook
Larry Page           60       Alphabet
Charles Koch         50       Koch Industries
David Koch           50       Koch Industries
Sergey Brin          50       Alphabet
Michael Bloomberg    49       Bloomberg LP
Jim Walton           45       Walmart
S. Walton            44       Walmart
Alice Walton         44       Walmart
Steve Balmer         41       Microsoft, LA Clippers
Sheldon Adelson      35       Las Vegas Sands Corp
Rupert Murdoch      >10       Fox News
Michael Dell        >10       Dell
Elon Musk           >10       Tesla
Carl Icahn          >10
Charles Schwab      >10
George Lucas         >4
George Soros         >4
Steve Spielberg      >4
Gordon Moore         >4
Ross Perot           >4
Bob Kraft            >4
Tom Steyer
John Arnold
Donald Trump
Mark Cuban

Billionaires by state
California   165      Michigan     10    Missouri    6
New York     118      Pennsylvania 10    Virginia    5
Texas         56      Colorado     10
Florida       58      Tennessee    10
Massachusetts 17      Wyoming       9
Illinois      17      Wisconsin     9
Connecticut   17      Arizona       9
Georgia       13      New Jersey    8
Washington    12      Maryland      8
Nevada        11      Ohio          6

American corporations

            Billion $

Apple          780
Alphabet       749
Microsoft      736
Amazon         728
Berkshire H.   450
Facebook       376
Johnson & J.   346
JPMorgan Chase 325

History


Politicians


American rushes

Failed cities

SF
LA
Chicago
Manhattan
Boston
DC

Philadelphia
New Orleans
Detroit
Atlanta
Seattle


Memes


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